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JPN Japonsko - J-League · Round 1 ·

FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich38%
Remíza33%
Výhra hostí29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich38% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC TokyoMachida Zelvia
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej70% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
38% / 33% / 29%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Machida Zelvia win (29.3%)Dvojitá šanca1X70.7%1.41
Viac 30% · Menej 70%Goals 2.5Menej70%1.43
Áno 38% · Nie 62%Oba tímy skórujúNie62%1.61
1.90 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.9 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
FC Tokyo win38%2.63
Remíza33%3.03
Machida Zelvia win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Tokyo1.07

Domáci share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 30% · Menej 70%

Machida Zelvia0.83

Hostia share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 38% · Nie 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FC Tokyo

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci failed to score: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Machida Zelvia

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalHostia unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.07
Expected goals
0.83
FC TokyoMachida Zelvia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Tokyo signalDomáci failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Machida Zelvia signalHostia unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Tokyo výhra 38%,Remíza 33%,Machida Zelvia výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Viac 2.5 30% · Current selection Menej