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ISL Iceland 4 Deild · Final ·

Ulfarnir vs Ellidi

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–3Forecast 2–2
Away form
Home win47%
Draw21%
Away win32%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 47% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–2UlfarnirEllidi
Expected goals3.64Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes70% for the selected side
Expected corners12.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 21% / 32%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21%)Double chance1279%1.27
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.64 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
12.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ulfarnir win47%2.131.9047.7%
Draw21%4.764.3320.9%
Ellidi win32%3.132.8831.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ulfarnir1.99

Home share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.64Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Ellidi1.65

Away share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ulfarnir

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ellidi

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.65
UlfarnirEllidi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ulfarnir signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ellidi signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Ulfarnir vs Ellidi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ulfarnir win 47%,Draw 21%,Ellidi win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.64 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over