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ISL Islanda - 4. Deild · Round 13 ·

Ulfarnir vs Ellidi

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.64 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde47%
Egal21%
Victorie oaspeți32%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde47% selection probability
Projected score2–2UlfarnirEllidi
Expected goals3.64Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste70% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa70% for the selected side
Expected corners12.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
47% / 21% / 32%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21%)Șansă dublă1279%1.27
Peste 70% · Sub 30%Goals 2.5Peste70%1.43
Da 70% · Nu 30%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa70%1.43
3.64 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
12.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ulfarnir win47%2.131.9047.7%
Egal21%4.764.3320.9%
Ellidi win32%3.132.8831.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ulfarnir1.99

Gazde share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.64Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 70% · Sub 30%

Ellidi1.65

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 70% · Nu 30%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Ulfarnir

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Ellidi

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Câștig probability excluding draw
32%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.65
UlfarnirEllidi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ulfarnir signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ellidi signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Ulfarnir vs Ellidi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ulfarnir câștig 47%,Egal 21%,Ellidi câștig 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.64 · Peste 2.5 70% · Current selection Peste