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ISL Iceland 4 Deild · Fixture ·

IH Hafnarfjordur vs Hamar Hveragerdi

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.65 expected goals
Away form
Home win18%
Draw15%
Away win67%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 67% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win67% selection probability
Projected score1–2IH HafnarfjordurHamar Hveragerdi
Expected goals3.65Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes69% for the selected side
Expected corners12.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
18% / 15% / 67%Match resultAway win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (14.8%)Double chance1285.2%1.17
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Yes 69% · No 31%Both teams scoreYes69%1.45
3.65 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
12.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IH Hafnarfjordur win18%5.565.5016.4%
Draw15%6.676.5013.8%
Hamar Hveragerdi win67%1.491.2969.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IH Hafnarfjordur1.40

Home share of expected goals 38.4%

Total expected goals3.65Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Hamar Hveragerdi2.25

Away share of expected goals 61.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 69% · No 31%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

IH Hafnarfjordur

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hamar Hveragerdi

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Win probability excluding draw
67%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.40
Expected goals
2.25
IH HafnarfjordurHamar Hveragerdi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IH Hafnarfjordur signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hamar Hveragerdi signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

IH Hafnarfjordur vs Hamar Hveragerdi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IH Hafnarfjordur win 18%,Draw 15%,Hamar Hveragerdi win 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over