Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 27% / 30%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapColon FC Reserves winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Atletico Progreso Reserves win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
Colon FC Reserves win30%3.333.1028.9%+1.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.6%
Total expected goals2.49Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%
Away share of expected goals 51.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchClub Atletico Progreso Reserves
LLLWD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchColon FC Reserves
WWWLW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
30%4
Points from supplied form
121.21
Expected goals
1.28Club Atletico Progreso ReservesColon FC Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Club Atletico Progreso Reserves vs Colon FC Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Club Atletico Progreso Reserves win 44%，Draw 27%，Colon FC Reserves win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.49 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under。