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URY Uruguay - Liga B · Final ·

Club Atletico Progreso - B vs Colón FC - B

Prediction review

Local form
Final score3–2Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante30%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Atletico Progreso - BColón FC - B
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 27% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Doble Oportunidad1273.5%1.36
Más de 45% · Menos de 55%Goals 2.5Menos de55%1.82
Sí 51% · No 49%Ambos equipos marcan51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapColón FC - B winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Atletico Progreso - B win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Empate27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
Colón FC - B win30%3.333.1028.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Atletico Progreso - B1.21

Local share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 45% · Menos de 55%

Colón FC - B1.28

Visitante share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Club Atletico Progreso - B

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Colón FC - B

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.21
Expected goals
1.28
Club Atletico Progreso - BColón FC - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Atletico Progreso - B signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Colón FC - B signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Club Atletico Progreso - B vs Colón FC - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Atletico Progreso - B ganada 44%,Empate 27%,Colón FC - B ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Más de 2.5 45% · Current selection Menos de