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URY Uruguay - Reserveliga · Final ·

Club Atletico Progreso - Reserve vs Colón FC - Reserve

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–2Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Atletico Progreso - ReserveColón FC - Reserve
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 27% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Doppelte Chance1273.5%1.36
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapColón FC - Reserve winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Atletico Progreso - Reserve win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
Colón FC - Reserve win30%3.333.1028.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Atletico Progreso - Reserve1.21

Heim share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

Colón FC - Reserve1.28

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Club Atletico Progreso - Reserve

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Colón FC - Reserve

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.21
Expected goals
1.28
Club Atletico Progreso - ReserveColón FC - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Atletico Progreso - Reserve signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Colón FC - Reserve signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Club Atletico Progreso - Reserve vs Colón FC - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Atletico Progreso - Reserve Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 27%,Colón FC - Reserve Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter