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URY Uruguay - Lega Riserve · Final ·

Club Atletico Progreso riserve vs Colon FC riserve

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score3–2Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite30%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Atletico Progreso riserveColon FC riserve
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 27% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Doppia Chance1273.5%1.36
Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%Goals 2.5Sotto55%1.82
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapColon FC riserve winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Atletico Progreso riserve win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
Colon FC riserve win30%3.333.1028.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Atletico Progreso riserve1.21

Casa share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%

Colon FC riserve1.28

Trasferta share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Club Atletico Progreso riserve

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Colon FC riserve

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.21
Expected goals
1.28
Club Atletico Progreso riserveColon FC riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Atletico Progreso riserve signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Colon FC riserve signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Club Atletico Progreso riserve vs Colon FC riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Atletico Progreso riserve vinta 44%,Pareggio 27%,Colon FC riserve vinta 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Sopra 2.5 45% · Current selection Sotto