Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 22% / 34%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Double chance1277.7%1.29
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Yes 73% · No 27%Both teams scoreYes73%1.37
4.02 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano Reserves winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano Reserves win44%2.272.1042.9%+1.1 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Cerro Porteno Reserves win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.2%
Total expected goals4.02Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%
Away share of expected goals 39.8%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 73% · No 27%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchSportivo Ameliano Reserves
WWWLW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchCerro Porteno Reserves
WWLWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
34%12
Points from supplied form
122.42
Expected goals
1.60Sportivo Ameliano ReservesCerro Porteno Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Sportivo Ameliano Reserves vs Cerro Porteno Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sportivo Ameliano Reserves win 44%，Draw 22%，Cerro Porteno Reserves win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.02 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over。