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PRY Paraguay - Ligue réserve · Match ·

Sportivo Ameliano - Réserves vs Cerro Porteno - Réserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–24.02 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sportivo Ameliano - RéservesCerro Porteno - Réserves
Expected goals4.02Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de77% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui73% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 22% / 34%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Double chance1277.7%1.29
Plus de 77% · Moins de 23%Goals 2.5Plus de77%1.30
Oui 73% · Non 27%Les deux équipes marquentOui73%1.37
4.02 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano - Réserves winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano - Réserves win44%2.272.1042.9%+1.1 pp
Nul22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Cerro Porteno - Réserves win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano - Réserves2.42

Domicile share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals4.02Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 77% · Moins de 23%

Cerro Porteno - Réserves1.60

Extérieur share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 73% · Non 27%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano - Réserves

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteno - Réserves

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
12
2.42
Expected goals
1.60
Sportivo Ameliano - RéservesCerro Porteno - Réserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano - Réserves signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteno - Réserves signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano - Réserves vs Cerro Porteno - Réserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano - Réserves victoire 44%,Nul 22%,Cerro Porteno - Réserves victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.02 · Plus de 2.5 77% · Current selection Plus de