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PRY Paraguay - Liga B · Partido ·

Club Sportivo Ameliano - B vs Cerro Porteño - B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–24.02 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Club Sportivo Ameliano - BCerro Porteño - B
Expected goals4.02Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de77% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan73% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 22% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Doble Oportunidad1277.7%1.29
Más de 77% · Menos de 23%Goals 2.5Más de77%1.30
Sí 73% · No 27%Ambos equipos marcan73%1.37
4.02 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapClub Sportivo Ameliano - B winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Sportivo Ameliano - B win44%2.272.1042.9%+1.1 pp
Empate22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Cerro Porteño - B win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Sportivo Ameliano - B2.42

Local share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals4.02Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 77% · Menos de 23%

Cerro Porteño - B1.60

Visitante share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 73% · No 27%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Club Sportivo Ameliano - B

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteño - B

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
12
2.42
Expected goals
1.60
Club Sportivo Ameliano - BCerro Porteño - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Sportivo Ameliano - B signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteño - B signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Club Sportivo Ameliano - B vs Cerro Porteño - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Sportivo Ameliano - B ganada 44%,Empate 22%,Cerro Porteño - B ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.02 · Más de 2.5 77% · Current selection Más de