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PRY Paraguay - Reservligan · Match ·

Sportivo Ameliano reserver vs Cerro Porteno reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–24.02 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger34%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sportivo Ameliano reserverCerro Porteno reserver
Expected goals4.02Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över77% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa73% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 22% / 34%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Dubbelchans1277.7%1.29
Över 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Över77%1.30
Ja 73% · Nej 27%Båda lagen gör målJa73%1.37
4.02 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano reserver winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano reserver win44%2.272.1042.9%+1.1 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Cerro Porteno reserver win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano reserver2.42

Hemma share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals4.02Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 77% · Under 23%

Cerro Porteno reserver1.60

Borta share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 73% · Nej 27%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano reserver

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteno reserver

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
12
2.42
Expected goals
1.60
Sportivo Ameliano reserverCerro Porteno reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano reserver signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteno reserver signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano reserver vs Cerro Porteno reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano reserver vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 22%,Cerro Porteno reserver vunnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.02 · Över 2.5 77% · Current selection Över