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AUS Australia Queensland Premier League · Fixture ·

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Broadbeach United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.90 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw28%
Away win42%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sunshine Coast WanderersBroadbeach United
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 28% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sunshine Coast Wanderers win31%3.23
Draw28%3.57
Broadbeach United win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers1.27

Home share of expected goals 43.8%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Broadbeach United1.63

Away share of expected goals 56.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sunshine Coast Wanderers

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Broadbeach United

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.27
Expected goals
1.63
Sunshine Coast WanderersBroadbeach United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sunshine Coast Wanderers signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Broadbeach United signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Broadbeach United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers win 31%,Draw 28%,Broadbeach United win 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over