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IRL Republic of Ireland First Division · Final ·

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps

Prediction review

Home form
Final score5–0Forecast 3–1
Away form
Home win73%
Draw15%
Away win12%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 73% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Expected goals3.94Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
73% / 15% / 12%Match resultHome win73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Finn Harps win (11.7%)Double chance1X88.3%1.13
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
3.94 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapBray Wanderers winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bray Wanderers win73%1.371.2572.7%+0.3 pp
Draw15%6.676.0015.2%-0.2 pp
Finn Harps win12%8.337.5012.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bray Wanderers3.06

Home share of expected goals 77.7%

Total expected goals3.94Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

Finn Harps0.88

Away share of expected goals 22.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Bray Wanderers

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Finn Harps

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Win probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.06
Expected goals
0.88
Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bray Wanderers signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Finn Harps signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bray Wanderers win 73%,Draw 15%,Finn Harps win 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.94 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over