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IRL Irland - 1. Division · Final ·

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score5–0Prognose 3–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg73%
Unentschieden15%
Auswärtssieg12%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 73% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Expected goals3.94Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über75% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
73% / 15% / 12%SpielergebnisHeimsieg73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Finn Harps win (11.7%)Doppelte Chance1X88.3%1.13
Über 75% · Unter 25%Goals 2.5Über75%1.33
Ja 56% · Nein 44%Beide Teams treffenJa56%1.79
3.94 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapBray Wanderers winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bray Wanderers win73%1.371.2572.7%+0.3 pp
Unentschieden15%6.676.0015.2%-0.2 pp
Finn Harps win12%8.337.5012.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bray Wanderers3.06

Heim share of expected goals 77.7%

Total expected goals3.94Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 75% · Unter 25%

Finn Harps0.88

Auswärts share of expected goals 22.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nein 44%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Bray Wanderers

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Finn Harps

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.06
Expected goals
0.88
Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bray Wanderers signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Finn Harps signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bray Wanderers Gewinn 73%,Unentschieden 15%,Finn Harps Gewinn 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.94 · Über 2.5 75% · Current selection Über