Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
16% / 25% / 59%Match resultAway win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo (W) win (15.9%)Double chanceX284.1%1.19
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
2.14 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapFluminense (W) winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo (W) win16%6.255.5016.5%-0.5 pp
Draw25%4.003.6025.1%-0.1 pp
Fluminense (W) win59%1.691.5558.4%+0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 23.4%
Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%
Away share of expected goals 76.6%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchBotafogo (W)
LLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchFluminense (W)
WLDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
16%
Win probability excluding draw
59%0
Points from supplied form
40.50
Expected goals
1.64Botafogo (W)Fluminense (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Botafogo (W) vs Fluminense (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Botafogo (W) win 16%，Draw 25%，Fluminense (W) win 59%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.14 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under。