Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 29% / 34%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Double chance1270.7%1.41
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Boca Unidos win37%2.70
Draw29%3.45
Independiente Chivilcoy win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 51.8%
Total expected goals2.57Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 48.2%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchBoca Unidos
LWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchIndependiente Chivilcoy
DLDLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Win probability excluding draw
34%6
Points from supplied form
21.33
Expected goals
1.24Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Boca Unidos win 37%，Draw 29%，Independiente Chivilcoy win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。