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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Match ·

Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger37%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger34%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
37% / 29% / 34%MatchresultatHemmaseger37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Dubbelchans1270.7%1.41
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Boca Unidos win37%2.70
Oavgjort29%3.45
Independiente Chivilcoy win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boca Unidos1.33

Hemma share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Independiente Chivilcoy1.24

Borta share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Boca Unidos

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Independiente Chivilcoy

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.33
Expected goals
1.24
Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boca Unidos signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente Chivilcoy signalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boca Unidos vunnen 37%,Oavgjort 29%,Independiente Chivilcoy vunnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under