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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partida ·

Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa37%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante34%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
37% / 29% / 34%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Dupla Chance1270.7%1.41
Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%Goals 2.5Abaixo53%1.89
Sim 53% · Não 47%Ambas as equipes marcamSim53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Boca Unidos win37%2.70
Empate29%3.45
Independiente Chivilcoy win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boca Unidos1.33

Mandante share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%

Independiente Chivilcoy1.24

Visitante share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 53% · Não 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Boca Unidos

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Independiente Chivilcoy

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.33
Expected goals
1.24
Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boca Unidos signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente Chivilcoy signalMandante won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boca Unidos ganhou 37%,Empate 29%,Independiente Chivilcoy ganhou 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Acima 2.5 47% · Current selection Abaixo