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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Wedstrijd ·

Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 29% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Dubbele Kans1270.7%1.41
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Boca Unidos win37%2.70
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Independiente Chivilcoy win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boca Unidos1.33

Thuis share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

Independiente Chivilcoy1.24

Uit share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Boca Unidos

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Independiente Chivilcoy

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.33
Expected goals
1.24
Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boca Unidos signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente Chivilcoy signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boca Unidos gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 29%,Independiente Chivilcoy gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder