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MWI Malawi Super League · Fixture ·

MAFCO vs Blue Eagles

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw28%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1MAFCOBlue Eagles
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 28% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Double chance1272.4%1.38
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBlue Eagles winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MAFCO win33%3.032.7532.6%+0.4 pp
Draw28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Blue Eagles win39%2.562.2539.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MAFCO1.42

Home share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Blue Eagles1.21

Away share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MAFCO

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Blue Eagles

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.42
Expected goals
1.21
MAFCOBlue Eagles
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MAFCO signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Blue Eagles signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MAFCO vs Blue Eagles FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MAFCO win 33%,Draw 28%,Blue Eagles win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under