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MWI Malawi Super League · Match ·

MAFCO vs Blue Eagles

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile33%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur39%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur39% selection probability
Projected score1–1MAFCOBlue Eagles
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
33% / 28% / 39%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Double chance1272.4%1.38
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBlue Eagles winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MAFCO win33%3.032.7532.6%+0.4 pp
Nul28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Blue Eagles win39%2.562.2539.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MAFCO1.42

Domicile share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%

Blue Eagles1.21

Extérieur share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

MAFCO

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Blue Eagles

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gagné probability excluding draw
39%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.42
Expected goals
1.21
MAFCOBlue Eagles
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MAFCO signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Blue Eagles signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MAFCO vs Blue Eagles FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MAFCO victoire 33%,Nul 28%,Blue Eagles victoire 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de