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ARG Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Fixture ·

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.98 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw33%
Away win34%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 33% / 34%Match resultAway win34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino de Rosario win (33.1%)Double chanceX266.9%1.49
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
1.98 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
7.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapClub Mercedes winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Argentino de Rosario win33%3.032.6334.1%-1.1 pp
Draw33%3.032.7033.2%-0.2 pp
Club Mercedes win34%2.942.7532.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino de Rosario0.75

Home share of expected goals 37.9%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Club Mercedes1.23

Away share of expected goals 62.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Argentino de Rosario

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Club Mercedes

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.75
Expected goals
1.23
Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino de Rosario signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Mercedes signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino de Rosario win 33%,Draw 33%,Club Mercedes win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under