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ARG Argentinië - Primera C Metropolitana · Wedstrijd ·

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.98 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel33%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee62% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 33% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino de Rosario win (33.1%)Dubbele KansX266.9%1.49
Boven 32% · Onder 68%Goals 2.5Onder68%1.47
Ja 38% · Nee 62%Beide teams scorenNee62%1.61
1.98 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
7.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapClub Mercedes winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Argentino de Rosario win33%3.032.6334.1%-1.1 pp
Gelijkspel33%3.032.7033.2%-0.2 pp
Club Mercedes win34%2.942.7532.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino de Rosario0.75

Thuis share of expected goals 37.9%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 32% · Onder 68%

Club Mercedes1.23

Uit share of expected goals 62.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nee 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Argentino de Rosario

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Club Mercedes

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.75
Expected goals
1.23
Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino de Rosario signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Mercedes signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino de Rosario gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 33%,Club Mercedes gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Boven 2.5 32% · Current selection Onder