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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Kamp ·

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.98 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr33%
Uafgjort33%
Udesejr34%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej62% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
33% / 33% / 34%KampresultatUdesejr34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino de Rosario win (33.1%)DobbeltchanceX266.9%1.49
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Ja 38% · Nej 62%Begge hold scorerNej62%1.61
1.98 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
7.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapClub Mercedes winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Argentino de Rosario win33%3.032.6334.1%-1.1 pp
Uafgjort33%3.032.7033.2%-0.2 pp
Club Mercedes win34%2.942.7532.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino de Rosario0.75

Hjemme share of expected goals 37.9%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Club Mercedes1.23

Ude share of expected goals 62.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nej 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Argentino de Rosario

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Point3

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Club Mercedes

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vundet probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.75
Expected goals
1.23
Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino de Rosario signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Mercedes signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino de Rosario vundet 33%,Uafgjort 33%,Club Mercedes vundet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under