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ARG Argentina - Primera C · Partido ·

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.98 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local33%
Empate33%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de68% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
33% / 33% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino de Rosario win (33.1%)Doble OportunidadX266.9%1.49
Más de 32% · Menos de 68%Goals 2.5Menos de68%1.47
Sí 38% · No 62%Ambos equipos marcanNo62%1.61
1.98 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
7.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapClub Mercedes winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Argentino de Rosario win33%3.032.6334.1%-1.1 pp
Empate33%3.032.7033.2%-0.2 pp
Club Mercedes win34%2.942.7532.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino de Rosario0.75

Local share of expected goals 37.9%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 32% · Menos de 68%

Club Mercedes1.23

Visitante share of expected goals 62.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Argentino de Rosario

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Club Mercedes

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.75
Expected goals
1.23
Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino de Rosario signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Mercedes signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino de Rosario ganada 33%,Empate 33%,Club Mercedes ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Más de 2.5 32% · Current selection Menos de