MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
AUS Australia South Australia State League Reserves · Fixture ·

Fulham United FC Reserves vs Adelaide Blue Eagles Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.42 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw25%
Away win47%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win47% selection probability
Projected score1–2Fulham United FC ReservesAdelaide Blue Eagles Reserves
Expected goals3.42Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 25% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.42 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Fulham United FC Reserves win27%3.70
Draw25%4.00
Adelaide Blue Eagles Reserves win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fulham United FC Reserves1.34

Home share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals3.42Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Adelaide Blue Eagles Reserves2.08

Away share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Fulham United FC Reserves

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Adelaide Blue Eagles Reserves

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.34
Expected goals
2.08
Fulham United FC ReservesAdelaide Blue Eagles Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fulham United FC Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Blue Eagles Reserves signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Fulham United FC Reserves vs Adelaide Blue Eagles Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fulham United FC Reserves win 27%,Draw 25%,Adelaide Blue Eagles Reserves win 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over