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SLV El Salvador Reserves League · Fixture ·

AD Isidro Metapan Reserves vs CD Aguila Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw27%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score2–1AD Isidro Metapan ReservesCD Aguila Reserves
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 27% / 29%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Double chance1272.8%1.37
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
3.03 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
AD Isidro Metapan Reserves win43%2.33
Draw27%3.70
CD Aguila Reserves win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Isidro Metapan Reserves1.76

Home share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

CD Aguila Reserves1.27

Away share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Aguila Reserves

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.76
Expected goals
1.27
AD Isidro Metapan ReservesCD Aguila Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Isidro Metapan Reserves signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Aguila Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Isidro Metapan Reserves vs CD Aguila Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Isidro Metapan Reserves win 43%,Draw 27%,CD Aguila Reserves win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over