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SLV El Salvador - Reserveliga · Spiel ·

AD Isidro Metapan - Reserve vs CD Aguila - Reserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg29%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score2–1AD Isidro Metapan - ReserveCD Aguila - Reserve
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 27% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Doppelte Chance1272.9%1.37
Über 58% · Unter 42%Goals 2.5Über58%1.72
Ja 60% · Nein 40%Beide Teams treffenJa60%1.67
3.03 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
AD Isidro Metapan - Reserve win43%2.33
Unentschieden27%3.70
CD Aguila - Reserve win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Isidro Metapan - Reserve1.76

Heim share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 58% · Unter 42%

CD Aguila - Reserve1.27

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nein 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AD Isidro Metapan - Reserve

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CD Aguila - Reserve

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.76
Expected goals
1.27
AD Isidro Metapan - ReserveCD Aguila - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Isidro Metapan - Reserve signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Aguila - Reserve signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Isidro Metapan - Reserve vs CD Aguila - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Isidro Metapan - Reserve Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 27%,CD Aguila - Reserve Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Über 2.5 58% · Current selection Über