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SLV El Salvador - Reservligan · Match ·

AD Isidro Metapan reserver vs CD Aguila reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score2–1AD Isidro Metapan reserverCD Aguila reserver
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 27% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dubbelchans1272.8%1.37
Över 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Över58%1.72
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
3.03 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
AD Isidro Metapan reserver win43%2.33
Oavgjort27%3.70
CD Aguila reserver win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Isidro Metapan reserver1.76

Hemma share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 58% · Under 42%

CD Aguila reserver1.27

Borta share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

AD Isidro Metapan reserver

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

CD Aguila reserver

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.76
Expected goals
1.27
AD Isidro Metapan reserverCD Aguila reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Isidro Metapan reserver signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Aguila reserver signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Isidro Metapan reserver vs CD Aguila reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Isidro Metapan reserver vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 27%,CD Aguila reserver vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Över 2.5 58% · Current selection Över