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SLV El Salvador Reserves League · Fixture ·

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves vs CD Municipal Limeno Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.60 expected goals
Away form
Home win58%
Draw23%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win58% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD Luis Angel Firpo ReservesCD Municipal Limeno Reserves
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 23% / 19%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Municipal Limeno Reserves win (19.2%)Double chance1X80.8%1.24
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves win58%1.721.5758%0.0 pp
Draw23%4.354.0022.8%+0.2 pp
CD Municipal Limeno Reserves win19%5.264.7519.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves1.71

Home share of expected goals 65.8%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

CD Municipal Limeno Reserves0.89

Away share of expected goals 34.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Municipal Limeno Reserves

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.71
Expected goals
0.89
CD Luis Angel Firpo ReservesCD Municipal Limeno Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Municipal Limeno Reserves signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves vs CD Municipal Limeno Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves win 58%,Draw 23%,CD Municipal Limeno Reserves win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under