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INT Australia Queensland Premier League 3 · Round 24 ·

AC Carina vs North Pine

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–14.39 expected goals
Away form
Home win69%
Draw18%
Away win13%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win69% selection probability
Projected score3–1AC CarinaNorth Pine
Expected goals4.39Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over81% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
69% / 18% / 13%Match resultHome win69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes North Pine win (13%)Double chance1X87%1.15
Over 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Over81%1.23
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
4.39 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
AC Carina win69%1.45
Draw18%5.56
North Pine win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Carina3.39

Home share of expected goals 77.2%

Total expected goals4.39Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 81% · Under 19%

North Pine1.00

Away share of expected goals 22.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

AC Carina

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

North Pine

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
13
Points from supplied form
3
3.39
Expected goals
1.00
AC CarinaNorth Pine
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Carina signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Pine signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

AC Carina vs North Pine FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Carina win 69%,Draw 18%,North Pine win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.39 · Over 2.5 81% · Current selection Over