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INT 澳大利亞昆士蘭州超級聯賽3 · Round 24 ·

AC卡里納 vs 北松

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–14.39 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝69%
18%
客勝13%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝69% selection probability
Projected score3–1AC卡里納北松
Expected goals4.39初盤 match profile
Goals 2.581% for the selected side
雙方進球61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
69% / 18% / 13%比賽結果主勝69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 北松 win (13%)雙重機會1X87%1.15
大 81% · 小 19%Goals 2.581%1.23
是 61% · 否 39%雙方進球61%1.64
4.39 total expected goals正確比分3–1
10.0 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
AC卡里納 win69%1.45
18%5.56
北松 win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC卡里納3.39

主隊 share of expected goals 77.2%

Total expected goals4.39初盤

Dedicated goals model: 81% · 19%

北松1.00

客隊 share of expected goals 22.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 61% · 39%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

AC卡里納

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

北松

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
贏 probability excluding draw
13%
13
Points from supplied form
3
3.39
Expected goals
1.00
AC卡里納北松
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC卡里納 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02北松 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

AC卡里納 vs 北松 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC卡里納 69%, 18%,北松 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.39 · 大2.5 81% · Current selection