Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 26% / 28%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Double chance1273.7%1.36
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.93 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
11.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapHamKam winDifference+2.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HamKam win46%2.172.1543.9%+2.1 pp
Draw26%3.853.5027%-1.0 pp
Aalesund win28%3.573.2529.1%-1.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 66.7%
Total expected goals3.93Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%
Away share of expected goals 33.3%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchHamKam
WLLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchAalesund
LDLDW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Win probability excluding draw
28%4
Points from supplied form
52.62
Expected goals
1.31HamKamAalesund
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
HamKam vs Aalesund FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
HamKam win 46%，Draw 26%，Aalesund win 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.93 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over。