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HamKam vs Aalesund

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score3–13.91 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local55%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante22%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local55% selection probability
Projected score3–1HamKamAalesund
Expected goals3.91Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de75% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan68% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
55% / 23% / 22%Resultado del partidoVictoria local55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aalesund win (22%)Doble Oportunidad1X78%1.28
Más de 75% · Menos de 25%Goals 2.5Más de75%1.33
Sí 68% · No 32%Ambos equipos marcan68%1.47
3.91 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–1
11.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
HamKam win55%1.82
Empate23%4.35
Aalesund win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HamKam2.61

Local share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals3.91Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 75% · Menos de 25%

Aalesund1.30

Visitante share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 68% · No 32%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

HamKam

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Aalesund

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganado probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
5
2.61
Expected goals
1.30
HamKamAalesund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HamKam signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aalesund signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

HamKam vs Aalesund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HamKam ganada 55%,Empate 23%,Aalesund ganada 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.91 · Más de 2.5 75% · Current selection Más de