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HamKam vs Aalesunds FK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.91 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier55%
Uavgjort23%
Borteseier22%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier55% selection probability
Projected score3–1HamKamAalesunds FK
Expected goals3.91Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
55% / 23% / 22%KampresultatHjemmeseier55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aalesunds FK win (22%)Dobbel sjanse1X78%1.28
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Ja 68% · Nei 32%Begge lag scorerJa68%1.47
3.91 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
11.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
HamKam win55%1.82
Uavgjort23%4.35
Aalesunds FK win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HamKam2.61

Hjemme share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals3.91Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

Aalesunds FK1.30

Borte share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nei 32%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

HamKam

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Aalesunds FK

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
5
2.61
Expected goals
1.30
HamKamAalesunds FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HamKam signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aalesunds FK signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

HamKam vs Aalesunds FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HamKam vunnet 55%,Uavgjort 23%,Aalesunds FK vunnet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.91 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over