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ENG Angleterre - Northern Premier League · Match ·

Gainsborough vs Workington

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur26%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score2–1GainsboroughWorkington
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 28% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Workington win (26.1%)Double chance1X73.9%1.35
Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%Goals 2.5Plus de52%1.92
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.74 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Gainsborough win46%2.17
Nul28%3.57
Workington win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gainsborough1.70

Domicile share of expected goals 62%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%

Workington1.04

Extérieur share of expected goals 38%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Gainsborough

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Workington

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.04
GainsboroughWorkington
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gainsborough signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Workington signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Gainsborough vs Workington FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gainsborough victoire 46%,Nul 28%,Workington victoire 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Plus de 2.5 52% · Current selection Plus de