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ENG England - Northern Premier League · Kamp ·

Gainsborough vs Workington

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr48%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr27%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr48% selection probability
Projected score2–1GainsboroughWorkington
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
48% / 26% / 27%KampresultatHjemmesejr48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dobbeltchance1274.4%1.34
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Begge hold scorerJa53%1.89
2.74 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapGainsborough winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gainsborough win48%2.081.9047.2%+0.8 pp
Uafgjort26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Workington win27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gainsborough1.70

Hjemme share of expected goals 62%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Workington1.04

Ude share of expected goals 38%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Gainsborough

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Workington

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vundet probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.04
GainsboroughWorkington
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gainsborough signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Workington signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Gainsborough vs Workington FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gainsborough vundet 48%,Uafgjort 26%,Workington vundet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over