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ENG Anglia - Northern Premier League · Mecz ·

Gainsborough vs Workington

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy48%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości27%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy48% selection probability
Projected score2–1GainsboroughWorkington
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej52% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
48% / 26% / 27%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Podwójna szansa1274.4%1.34
Powyżej 52% · Poniżej 48%Goals 2.5Powyżej52%1.92
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
2.74 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapGainsborough winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gainsborough win48%2.081.9047.2%+0.8 pp
Remis26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Workington win27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gainsborough1.70

Gospodarze share of expected goals 62%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 52% · Poniżej 48%

Workington1.04

Goście share of expected goals 38%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Gainsborough

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Workington

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.04
GainsboroughWorkington
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gainsborough signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Workington signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Gainsborough vs Workington FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gainsborough wygrana 48%,Remis 26%,Workington wygrana 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Powyżej 2.5 52% · Current selection Powyżej