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ITA Italie - Série C - Groupe A · Final ·

Cittadella vs US Pergolettese

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile57%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur16%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile57% selection probability
Projected score1–1CittadellaUS Pergolettese
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
57% / 27% / 16%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes US Pergolettese win (16.2%)Double chance1X83.8%1.19
Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%Goals 2.5Moins de59%1.69
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.32 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCittadella winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cittadella win57%1.751.5558%-1.0 pp
Nul27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
US Pergolettese win16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cittadella1.41

Domicile share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%

US Pergolettese0.91

Extérieur share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Cittadella

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

US Pergolettese

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gagné probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.41
Expected goals
0.91
CittadellaUS Pergolettese
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cittadella signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02US Pergolettese signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cittadella vs US Pergolettese FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cittadella victoire 57%,Nul 27%,US Pergolettese victoire 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Plus de 2.5 41% · Current selection Moins de