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ITA Italie - Série C - Groupe A · Final ·

Giana Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–2Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur33%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Giana ErminioAlbinoLeffe
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 31% / 33%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)Double chance1269%1.45
Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%Goals 2.5Moins de61%1.64
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapAlbinoLeffe winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Giana Erminio win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Nul31%3.232.9031.1%-0.1 pp
AlbinoLeffe win33%3.032.7532.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Giana Erminio1.17

Domicile share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%

AlbinoLeffe1.09

Extérieur share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Giana Erminio

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AlbinoLeffe

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.17
Expected goals
1.09
Giana ErminioAlbinoLeffe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Giana Erminio signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AlbinoLeffe signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Giana Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Giana Erminio victoire 36%,Nul 31%,AlbinoLeffe victoire 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Plus de 2.5 39% · Current selection Moins de