Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 31% / 33%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)Double chance1269%1.45
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapAlbinoleffe winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Giana Erminio win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Draw31%3.232.9031.1%-0.1 pp
Albinoleffe win33%3.032.7532.8%+0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 51.8%
Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%
Away share of expected goals 48.2%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchGiana Erminio
DLWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchAlbinoleffe
WLWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Win probability excluding draw
33%7
Points from supplied form
91.17
Expected goals
1.09Giana ErminioAlbinoleffe
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Giana Erminio vs Albinoleffe FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Giana Erminio win 36%，Draw 31%，Albinoleffe win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.26 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under。