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ITA Italia - Serie C - Grupa A · Final ·

Giana Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–2Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde36%
Egal31%
Victorie oaspeți33%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Giana ErminioAlbinoLeffe
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 31% / 33%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)Șansă dublă1269%1.45
Peste 39% · Sub 61%Goals 2.5Sub61%1.64
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapAlbinoLeffe winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Giana Erminio win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Egal31%3.232.9031.1%-0.1 pp
AlbinoLeffe win33%3.032.7532.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Giana Erminio1.17

Gazde share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 39% · Sub 61%

AlbinoLeffe1.09

Oaspeți share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Giana Erminio

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

AlbinoLeffe

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.17
Expected goals
1.09
Giana ErminioAlbinoLeffe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Giana Erminio signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AlbinoLeffe signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Giana Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Giana Erminio câștig 36%,Egal 31%,AlbinoLeffe câștig 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Peste 2.5 39% · Current selection Sub