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ITA Italy Serie C Group A · Final ·

Giana Erminio vs Albinoleffe

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–2Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier36%
Uavgjort31%
Borteseier33%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Giana ErminioAlbinoleffe
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
36% / 31% / 33%KampresultatHjemmeseier36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)Dobbel sjanse1269%1.45
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nei 54%Begge lag scorerNei54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapAlbinoleffe winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Giana Erminio win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Uavgjort31%3.232.9031.1%-0.1 pp
Albinoleffe win33%3.032.7532.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Giana Erminio1.17

Hjemme share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Albinoleffe1.09

Borte share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nei 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Giana Erminio

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Albinoleffe

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.17
Expected goals
1.09
Giana ErminioAlbinoleffe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Giana Erminio signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Albinoleffe signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Giana Erminio vs Albinoleffe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Giana Erminio vunnet 36%,Uavgjort 31%,Albinoleffe vunnet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under