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ITA Italy Serie C Group A · Final ·

Lecco vs Arzignano Valchiampo

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–0Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier42%
Uavgjort31%
Borteseier27%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier42% selection probability
Projected score1–1LeccoArzignano Valchiampo
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
42% / 31% / 27%KampresultatHjemmeseier42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Arzignano Valchiampo win (27.2%)Dobbel sjanse1X72.8%1.37
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 44% · Nei 56%Begge lag scorerNei56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Lecco win42%2.38
Uavgjort31%3.23
Arzignano Valchiampo win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lecco1.34

Hjemme share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Arzignano Valchiampo0.90

Borte share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nei 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Lecco

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Arzignano Valchiampo

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
27%
1
Points from supplied form
11
1.34
Expected goals
0.90
LeccoArzignano Valchiampo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lecco signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arzignano Valchiampo signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Lecco vs Arzignano Valchiampo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lecco vunnet 42%,Uavgjort 31%,Arzignano Valchiampo vunnet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under