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ITA Italy Serie C Group A · Fixture ·

Trento vs Treviso

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Away form
Home win53%
Draw26%
Away win21%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability
Projected score1–1TrentoTreviso
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 26% / 21%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Treviso win (21%)Double chance1X79%1.27
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.39 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trento win53%1.891.6554.4%
Draw26%3.853.5025.6%
Treviso win21%4.764.5019.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Trento1.47

Home share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

Treviso0.92

Away share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Trento

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Treviso

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.47
Expected goals
0.92
TrentoTreviso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Trento signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Treviso signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Trento vs Treviso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Trento win 53%,Draw 26%,Treviso win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under