Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
57% / 27% / 16%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Перголетезе win (16.2%)Двоен шанс1X83.8%1.19
Над 41% · Под 59%Goals 2.5Под59%1.69
Да 46% · Не 54%И двата отбора да отбележатНе54%1.85
2.32 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1——
8.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapЦитадела winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Цитадела win57%1.751.5558%-1.0 pp
Равен27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Перголетезе win16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Домакин share of expected goals 60.8%
Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Над 41% · Под 59%
Гост share of expected goals 39.2%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Не 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Домакин-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchЦитадела
WLDWL
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7
SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5
Гост-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchПерголетезе
DWWDD
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Точки9
SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
57%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
16%7
Points from supplied form
91.41
Expected goals
0.91ЦитаделаПерголетезе
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Цитадела vs Перголетезе FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Цитадела печеливш 57%，Равен 27%，Перголетезе печеливш 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.32 · Над 2.5 41% · Current selection Под。