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ITA Italy Serie C Group A · Final ·

Cittadella vs US Pergolettese

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score2–0Tahmin 1–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır57%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır16%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır57% selection probability
Projected score1–1CittadellaUS Pergolettese
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt59% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
57% / 27% / 16%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes US Pergolettese win (16.2%)Çifte Şans1X83.8%1.19
Üst 41% · Alt 59%Goals 2.5Alt59%1.69
Evet 46% · Hayır 54%Karşılıklı gol varHayır54%1.85
2.32 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.6 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCittadella winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cittadella win57%1.751.5558%-1.0 pp
Beraberlik27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
US Pergolettese win16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cittadella1.41

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 41% · Alt 59%

US Pergolettese0.91

Deplasman share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 46% · Hayır 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Cittadella

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

US Pergolettese

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.41
Expected goals
0.91
CittadellaUS Pergolettese
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cittadella signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02US Pergolettese signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cittadella vs US Pergolettese FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cittadella kazanç 57%,Beraberlik 27%,US Pergolettese kazanç 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · 2.5 Üst 41% · Current selection Alt