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ITA Włochy - Serie C - Grupa A · Final ·

Cittadella vs US Pergolettese

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score2–0Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy57%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości16%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy57% selection probability
Projected score1–1CittadellaUS Pergolettese
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej59% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
57% / 27% / 16%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes US Pergolettese win (16.2%)Podwójna szansa1X83.8%1.19
Powyżej 41% · Poniżej 59%Goals 2.5Poniżej59%1.69
Tak 46% · Nie 54%Obie drużyny strzeląNie54%1.85
2.32 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCittadella winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cittadella win57%1.751.5558%-1.0 pp
Remis27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
US Pergolettese win16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cittadella1.41

Gospodarze share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 41% · Poniżej 59%

US Pergolettese0.91

Goście share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 46% · Nie 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Cittadella

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

US Pergolettese

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.41
Expected goals
0.91
CittadellaUS Pergolettese
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cittadella signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02US Pergolettese signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cittadella vs US Pergolettese FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cittadella wygrana 57%,Remis 27%,US Pergolettese wygrana 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Powyżej 2.5 41% · Current selection Poniżej