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SCO Écosse - Premiership · Round 1 ·

St Mirren vs St Johnstone

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score2–1St MirrenSt Johnstone
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 25% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Double chance1275%1.33
Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%Goals 2.5Plus de52%1.92
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
St Mirren win46%2.17
Nul25%4.00
St Johnstone win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Mirren1.56

Domicile share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%

St Johnstone1.19

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

St Mirren

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

St Johnstone

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.56
Expected goals
1.19
St MirrenSt Johnstone
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Mirren signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Johnstone signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

St Mirren vs St Johnstone FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Mirren victoire 46%,Nul 25%,St Johnstone victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Plus de 2.5 52% · Current selection Plus de